Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 14.273441 16.603055 19.137316 22.091777 25.433970 29.089840 33.383564
2025-08-17 10.026392 13.122257 16.833961 21.576947 27.438117 34.402597 43.258995
2025-08-24 7.505036 10.809212 15.090894 20.968108 28.736011 38.551908 51.778133
2025-08-31 5.712429 8.952497 13.445080 19.999925 29.164521 41.345542 58.544642
2025-09-07 4.836674 8.144927 13.000721 20.452158 31.357682 46.451444 68.566491
2025-09-14 4.156622 7.478470 12.613629 20.858712 33.423890 51.440863 78.696998
2025-09-21 3.455122 6.638581 11.817131 20.504986 34.267563 54.673216 86.482494
2025-09-28 2.854435 5.850372 10.971631 19.933082 34.659769 57.191297 93.307076
2025-10-05 2.697022 5.814258 11.351700 21.359302 38.269180 64.758378 108.109323
2025-10-12 2.511426 5.690418 11.553692 22.486220 41.458239 71.852040 122.579609
2025-10-19 2.234886 5.339522 11.297410 22.775048 43.251237 76.820490 133.984006
2025-10-26 1.970961 4.966151 10.945344 22.840215 44.640622 81.188132 144.636809
2025-11-02 1.660570 4.458318 10.310121 22.397384 45.252948 84.565330 154.335121
2025-11-09 1.384106 3.973176 9.658418 21.865033 45.692417 87.752701 164.068534
2025-11-16 1.146986 3.524995 9.009292 21.247227 45.896616 90.524064 173.254286
2025-11-23 0.925430 3.058325 8.237761 20.267524 45.290976 91.779873 179.852543
2025-11-30 0.830602 2.906548 8.154443 20.724937 47.523844 98.293371 196.060145
2025-12-07 0.745012 2.759576 8.057823 21.136174 49.688226 104.803540 212.609310
2025-12-14 0.632336 2.501318 7.644199 20.778364 50.227196 108.275143 223.800355
2025-12-21 0.527441 2.236029 7.164451 20.199841 50.233688 110.703122 233.166218
2025-12-28 0.516302 2.280909 7.514284 21.642522 54.712148 122.112471 259.986397
2026-01-04 0.493047 2.277863 7.732005 22.782343 58.607025 132.574319 285.491192
2026-01-11 0.442796 2.162812 7.616537 23.074464 60.628325 139.390170 304.308859